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11-NOVEMBER 03-2023

Coronation_22Good morning.  The market’s strong performance has given investors a relief rally from last week’s six-month lows.  While it may slow down in the weeks ahead – and still post some big one-day drops – the trend through the end of the year is likely bullish.
Investors can expect stocks to trend higher, although not as violently as they have this week.  It’s time to ease off of short positions – that can wait until the tail end of the year or even into the start of 2024.  Traders should focus more on long-side opportunities here, and investors can buy beaten-down stocks for a year-end rally.
Whether trading or investing, it may also be time to use this market strength to sell a big loss, to free up cash for a better trade or investment on any small pullbacks in the coming weeks.  That can also help with the 2023 tax bill.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

This Holiday Season Won’t Be Normal
As we get closer to the holiday season, more Americans are growing concerned that this year won’t be normal.  The truth is… [Read Here]

November 03, 2022

The Future!Good morning.
Investors and traders alike have largely been focused on the moves being made by the Federal Reserve this year.  While that’s important, so are other factors.  The Fed is trying to bring down inflation.  While that’s mostly a monetary phenomenon, some goods and services remain high because demand is strong and supply is tight.
As long as that trend continues, there will be pressure on prices, no matter where interest rates end up.  And one big factor impacting global production of goods is China’s zero-covid policy.  The country is quick to harshly lock down any city where the virus pops up.  Doing so has been the biggest driver of supply chain issues in the past two years.  And as long as this policy is in place, a full supply chain recovery is unlikely.
That could mean 3-5 more years before we get back to a pre-pandemic, fully-functioning global supply chain.  Look for opportunities to find where these items may be prone to a shortage, and look to profit accordingly.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

The Global Food Crisis Just Got A Lot Worse
It appears that the global food crisis that started in 2022 is going to go to an entirely new level in 2023.  As I have been documenting on my websites, worldwide supplies of food have been getting tighter and tighter for months…[Read Here]

Biden’s Worst Inflation Mistake Was Avoidable
Whether he deserves it or not, President Biden is catching the blame for high inflation that’s wrecking family budgets.  Republicans argue that the huge COVID relief bill Biden championed and signed in 2021 flooded too much money into…[Read Here]

November 03, 2021

Not to get too excitedGood morning.
While Tesla Motors (TSLA) is in the news fairly often, Avis Budget Group (CAR) took the cake yesterday, with shares rising as much as 200 percent on no news.  Rumours abounded that they, too, might have ordered 100,000 Teslas much like competitor Hertz Global (HTZZ).
The more likely culprit?  Investors saw one of the few car companies that hadn’t had a massive rally in recent weeks and looked like the next to pop, especially after a decent earnings report.
The subsequent rally became a self-fulfilling prophecy.  While the world rapidly shifts towards electric vehicles, it’s a long-term trend with decades ahead of it.  There’s a lot to be bullish about in the space, but right now, traders might just be getting a bit ahead of themselves.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

A Different Perspective on Gold Investment
We explore an investment case for gold from the world’s #1 gold-buying nation.  How does the Indian investor differ from the U.S. investor?  Not as much as you might think… [Read Here]

November 03, 2020

Just VoteGood morning.
Markets started off quietly ahead of Election Day 2020.  Most traders look ready to move past the election volatility irrespective of the outcome.  We’ll soon know if the polls got it right or were way off base again.
But politics is a distraction from the markets rather than a driver of it.  With an economy still working to recover from pandemic shutdowns — and with many areas looking to expand shutdowns amidst a rise in cases — the election (and it’s inevitable recounts) will likely be the least of concerns for investors.  Perhaps markets are just starting to price in the next round of stimulus, which seems a given no matter the outcome.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

It Doesn’t Matter Who Wins – by PJ O’Rourke
America is an enormous ship of state, too big and complicated for any single person to control it…
Our ship of state is an old-fashioned square-rigged treasure galleon, but with a crew of 16 million.  That’s the number of people employed by America’s federal, state, and local governments.  This makes for a vessel almost three times the size of Norway (population 5,435,400).
Of course, in theory, there’s a captain – the president.  But that’s just one of the helms men.  There are also 435 congressmen, 100 senators, and nine Supreme Court justices with their hands on the wheel.
Let’s assume that this gang of jack-tars trying to steer all agree on which direction the boat should go.  (That has never happened but, for fun, let’s say it does.)  Trump gets re-elected, holds the Senate, and retakes the House – “Right full rudder!”  Or Biden wins, keeps the House, takes the Senate, and the ghost of Ruth Bader Ginsburg comes to Amy Coney Barrett and Clarence Thomas in their dreams and convinces them to join People For the American Way – “Left full rudder!”
But somebody still has to go around convincing the ship of state’s 16 million crew members – busy battening hatches, furling mainsails, weighing anchors, shivering timbers, and whatever else it is that sailors do on sailboats – to get with the program and make sure something happens with the steering gear.  Trump hasn’t had much luck in the past four years.  And Biden strikes me as being about as effective as The Skipper, captain of the S.S. Minnow on Gilligan’s Island.
Meanwhile, America drifts where the ebb and flow of circumstance take it…

November 03, 2019

Daylight Savings Time Begins!  With an extra hour added to the weekend, there’s no better time to discuss ‘The Time Management Myth.’

Here’s DarrenDaily.

It supposedly takes 10,000 hours to become an expert at anything!

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I think I’m at the 100 hour point in Graphic Design.  😉

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Come From Aways, Do You?

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