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11-NOVEMBER 23-2023

Panic-attack2Good morning, and Happy Thanksgiving!  On Thanksgiving Day 2014, members of oil cartel OPEC met and agreed to produce as much as possible.  The move crushed oil prices, and led to a number of American oil firms heavily in debt to go under.
This year, oil prices are acting up, even as OPEC is moving to lower production.  After moving over $90 per barrel in the summer, it’s back under $80.  A drop this sizeable, amid OPEC production cuts, suggests the world is using less oil.
Chances are the downtrend will continue for seasonal reasons until the spring.  Investors and traders should keep an eye for signs of a reversal.  But it could also be a warning sign that the economy is truly starting to slow.  That could mean markets may start to trend lower after the holidays, so don’t get too bullish going into 2024 quite yet.  It’s not a red flag yet, but a sign for caution.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

What Ended German Hyperinflation?
On 15 November 1923 decisive steps were taken to end the nightmare of hyperinflation in the Weimar Republic: The Reichsbank, the German central bank, stopped… [Read Here]

Unemployment Is Turning America Into A Wasteland
The mainstream media continues to say that inflation is low.  But if inflation was still measured the way that it was back in 1980, the official rate of inflation would be… [Read Here]

November 23, 2022

paperworkGood morning.
While America is preparing for the Thanksgiving holiday, Europe is preparing for its first deep chill of the season.  By December 6th, the continent is expected to have its first major cold snap.  That will prove the test to see if the energy shortage, particularly in natural gas, will hold up for the winter.

For investors, the cold weather will likely keep natural gas prices robust, especially on any early news of shortages of spiking electricity prices.  It’s a good reason to stick with the energy sector, even though it’s already been the sole market sector to see any gains this year.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

Top Billionaire Investor Says Inflation Is Unstoppable

Bill Ackman expects inflation and interest rates to remain elevated for years, darkening the outlook for stocks.  “We think inflation is going to be structurally higher going forward than it has been historically,” he said on a third-quarter call with… [Read Here]

Why Have Imports Collapsed By 28%?

The Port of Los Angeles has reported that its total throughput in October was 678,429 20-foot equivalent units (TEUs), almost 25 percent less compared to the same month last year.  Meanwhile, imports totaled 336,307 TEUs – down 28 percent year-over-year… [Read Here]

November 23, 2021

Holiday Shopping_2021Good morning.
It’s hard to believe that just last year, traders in the oil markets were humbled by trades that forced the price of the commodity negative.  Now, with prices rising, attempts to push the cost per barrel lower could backfire.
President Biden has asked regulatory agencies to investigate high prices at oil companies themselves, as though they weren’t subject to the laws of supply and demand.  Now, plans to release millions of barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve could push OPEC+ members into creating a response of their own that could lead to higher oil prices for longer. An oil price shock now, with inflation already running high, could do much to derail an economy still dependent on fossil fuels.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

3 Reasons Why Being Reluctant to Retire Could Be the Right Call
It’s understandable to hesitate before making a big decision.  Today, retirement reluctance is completely justified – due to this crucial factor [Read Here]

November 23, 2020

Money Can't Buy HappinessGood morning.
Stocks continue oscillating as positive vaccine news is overshadowed by increased economic restrictions against rising numbers of Covid-19 cases.  In a typical year, the period from Thanksgiving to New Year’s is one of the best times to be in the market.  Stocks tend to head higher on light volume amidst holiday cheer.
It would be foolish to think that this year would follow that trend perfectly.  But given that we just had a bear market in March, the odds of another massive pullback are unlikely.  Tread lightly this holiday season, and look to the latest lockdown news as a clue for the market’s next big swing.

Now here’s the rest of the news:


November 23, 2019

DARREN HARDY MESSAGE!  Once again different words convey different understanding.

Any questions?  I didn’t think so … 🙂

Come From Aways, Do You?

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