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12-DECEMBER 07-2023

Butt headsGood morning.  Since the pandemic, restaurants and hotels were responsible for most of the subsequent job creation.  Given how those spaces shut down and many employees looked for work elsewhere, it’s no surprise that this space, known in economics as leisure and hospitality, led on job growth as lockdowns ended.
Now, that trend is ending.  Yesterday’s jobs data showed that leisure and hospitality jobs shrank for the first time in three years.  Chances are it’s much tougher to get a job in that sector.  The good news?  The growth of other parts of the jobs market shows that there are still plenty of opportunities out there.
For investors and traders, it may be an early warning sign for a slowdown in leisure and hospitality.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

U.S. Federal Debt Reaches An Unsustainable Level?
Gold hit a new record high last week.  Meanwhile the federal debt verges on catastrophe… [Read Here]

Banking Crisis Continues As Losses Skyrocket Another 20%
“Unrealized losses” on securities at FDIC-insured commercial banks at the end of Q3 jumped by… [Read Here]

December 07, 2022

walk over you!Good morning.
Markets are forward looking.  And one of the ways markets are forward looking comes from the yield curve.  We’ve mentioned before that it’s inverted, with shorter-term debt yielding more than longer-term debt.  Typically, that’s a sign of a recession in the short to medium term.
Based on the current level of inversion, traders are now betting that by the end of next year, the Fed won’t just be done raising interest rates.  Wherever the final level ends up, there’s a strong chance for a rate cut of as much as 5 percent.  With rates currently under 5 percent, that’s a sign that the Fed will likely have to cut rates back to zero in the next year.
Time will tell if that’s how it plays out.  But for now, traders would be best to be mindful of the inverted yield curve and slow economic growth as a warning sign for the economy – and a sign that stocks could still fall further from here.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

Economists Shocked By Surging American Spending

Americans are still flush with all kinds of pandemic cash and are still getting flooded with it from states that send out “inflation checks” and similar stuff.  And they’re getting big pay increases, and much bigger pay increases when job hopping… [Read Here]

The Two Big Problems With Bullish Predictions

Since the beginning of October, the market has performed better as a “Fed Pivot” bull case pushed investors into the market.  We previously laid out the case for a strong “short squeeze” around the lows of September.  The ensuing short squeeze… [Read Here]

December 07, 2021

How does my morning look...Good morning.
Market volatility in the final weeks of any trading year are unusual, although not unheard of.  The market’s narrative about the uncertainty of the latest Covid variant — first “Nu” and now “Omicron,” has been a big driver.  With early reports coming in that the variant might spread easily, but isn’t necessarily deadly,
However, it’s possible that the market might be responding to the behaviour of the Federal Reserve.  Over the past few weeks, the central bank has been notably hawkish, likely due to high and increasingly persistent inflationary readings.
Last week Chairman Powell even stated that the bank could increase its tapering of bond-buying.  If there’s one thing markets love, it’s an easy-money policy.  And a less-easy world is certainly enough to set off a similar drop to the “taper tantrum” of 2013.  The timing of the latest Covid variant might just be a coincidence — but enough of a danger to keep the Fed buying more assets for longer.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

Mainstream Economists Struggle to Hide Incoming Economic Collapse
Economists are not being honest about what will happen in America very soon, maybe even before 2022 gets here.  Are you prepared? [Read Here]

December 07, 2020

New QuoteGood morning.
Unemployment fell to 6.7 percent in November.  That’s good.  But the rate of job growth slowed.  That’s bad.  However, in the world of the stock market, bad news can be good news.  As long as the Federal Reserve is supporting the markets, a struggling economy means the central bank will be providing support for a longer period of time.
The faster the economy recovers, the sooner the Federal Reserve can step back on its emergency measures, and may even shave a year or two off of its plans to next raise interest rates.  That’s why, even with a struggling job market, and even with on-again, off-again stimulus talks in Congress, the stock market will likely continue its upward trend.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

Gold, Silver and Mining Stocks: Patience Will Be Rewarded
“Stocks are always risky.  The ultimate safety is having possession of physical gold and silver.  ‘Possession’ is the key” –Dave Kranzler

December 07, 2019

How to steal some rest during this busy season!

christmas-4631194_640I just got off the phone with a client who said, “It always seems like we should be doing less in December, but then we are always doing more!”

I couldn’t agree more.  It’s difficult to figure how to rest as an entrepreneur.

If you are in the midst of a mad rush for the end of the year — you aren’t alone.  With December being two weeks shorter — it leaves most of us scrambling to fit our normal schedule into 3 VERY busy weeks.  And if you add in house guests and Christmas parties — it’s a lot.

So I thought I’d give you some of my favorite suggestions for taking a break during the ultra busy holiday season.  This article is short and sweet — but hopefully it will hit just the right spot.

Monica Shah’s Top Five Ways to Give it a REST

1. Yoga Nidra — this is an amazing form of guided meditation that you do while you are lying down. It is so relaxing.  They say it’s worth 3 hours of sleep.  I’ll take it!  You can find Yoga Nidra videos on Youtube and on the Gaia channel app.

2. A Warm Salt Water Bath — Did you know that salt water relieves negativity?  Yup.  That’s why oceans are so awesome.  Put a cup or two of salt in the tub and sit for at least 10 minutes.  Not only does it feel amazing, it takes down your adrenaline spike.  So you’ll sleep so much better.  I take baths in the evenings of my events to make sure I can actually calm down and get some sleep.

3. Lavender oil on the bottom of your feet.  Use high quality essential lavender oil to give yourself a foot rub, being sure to rub some on the bottom of your feet.  Smells amazing and will calm you right down.

4. Legs up a wall.  Now I know that this one isn’t new!  But honestly when is the last time you’ve done it?  When I’m super worn out, but still have a long way to go, I like to lie on the floor and put my legs up against a wall or on a chair for 10 minutes and close my eyes.  You won’t believe how much better you’ll feel in 10 minutes.

5. Five 6-count breaths.  Breathe in for two counts.  Breathe out for four counts.  Repeat 10 times.  I know this sounds simple, but again — how often do we do it?  The key is to do this one in the middle of a stressful situation so that you can avoid being triggered.

I know that many of you probably have done one or more of these suggestions — and my hope is that this is a good reminder to take care of yourself this season.  You have permission to stop.  To give to yourself.  And to know that soon enough we’ll all be enjoying our days off during the Holiday and New Year Season.  Hang in there my friends!  I send you so much love!  🙂

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Come From Aways, Do You?

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